Wednesday, October 27, 2004

States That May Be Back In Play

In the last week of a race there are always states that surprise you as being in play, after you had essentially assigned them to one candidate or the other. This year is no exception.

States that may be back in play: New Jersey, West Virginia, Virginia, Arkansas, Missouri and Hawaii. Two of these states were in the Kerry camp, the other four were in the Bush column. But recent polls suggest that they are again toss ups. If I were the Democrats I would have Clinton camped in Arkansas and hope for spill over coverage in Missouri. If I were Republicans, I would stay away from NJ, because closeness in that race is more a reaction against the state Democrats, and less an affirmation of the national Republicans.