Thursday, July 07, 2005

Supreme Court List

The Hotline has compiled the "short" list of potential Supreme Court nominees: Third Circuit Appeals Court Judge Samuel A. Alito Jr., D.C. Circuit Appeals Court Judge Janice Rogers Brown, Fifth Circuit Appeals Court Judge Edith Brown Clement, U.S. Senator John Cornyn, U.S. Senator Elizabeth Dole, Fifth Circuit Appeals Court Judge Emilio M. Garza, Attorney General Alberto R. Gonzales, Fifth Circuit Appeals Court Judge Edith Hollan Jones, D.C. Circuit Appeals Court Judge J. Michael Luttig, Tenth Circuit Appeals Judge Michael W. McConnell, White House Counsel Harriet Miers, D.C. Circuit Appeals Court Judge John G. Roberts, Jr., former Solicitor General Theodore B. Olson, Seventh Circuit Court Appeals Judge Diane S. Sykes, former Deputy Attorney General Larry Thompson, Fourth Circuit Appeals Court Judge J. Harvie Wilkinson III, and Fourth Circuit Appeal Court Judge Karen J. Williams.

There are only two names that I don't know on this list, Sykes and Williams; there are several that are certainly non-starters, Liddy Dole, for instance; and a few certain to provoke outrage on the left, but probably not enough to stop them from being confirmed after a hearty fight, like Wilkinson.

But there are two names that would start an outright war: Ted Olson and Janice Rogers Brown. If either one of these is the nominee, the Democrats will have no choice but to fight to the last man. My assumption, however, is that with approval ratings in the mid to low 40's, the White House will want to avoid an outright war that could end up crippling the rest of Junior's term, so I'm sticking with my earlier pick: Edith Jones, from the Fifth Circuit. (But Lord knows that I have been wrong about this White House before.)