Friday, October 28, 2005

Is the Bush Ship Sinking?

This is certainly the question that conservatives are asking themselves this week. Other than the John Roberts nomination, it is hard to find anything positive that the President has accomplished since his inauguration. (Please don't come back at me with "Iraq has a Constitution." I think that 2000 dead Americans makes that a wash at best.)

And today it seems as though at least one high administration official, Libby, will be indicted, and another, Rove, will continue to twist in the wind.

So the question at hand: is this administration sinking?

Both fortunately and unfortunately the answer is, of course not. Fortunately because this is the President of the United States and the leader of the free world. Unfortunately, because Junior is proving himself to be much like his just withdrawn Supreme Court nominee, not really up to the task, but there because he knew the right people. (Let's be honest here, there is no way this guy gets to where he is except for the fact that his Daddy was President. No matter how you feel about the guy, there is no way to deny that.)

He has already lost the fear factor, and Republicans are becoming more apt to campaign away, if not quite against, him than with him. (See Kilgore in VA, Schwarzenegger in Cali and Bloomberg in NYC.) So he needs a victory and he needs it bad.

The road to recovery will begin with his next Supreme Court nominee. I am predicting that he nominates a hard right conservative, and tries to get the Senate Democrats to filibuster the nominee. This is a risky strategy, because if he fails, his Presidency may really be done. But he needs the fight to rally the base, and try to paint the Democrats into the "extreme liberal" corner. It is too early to tell how the fight will end, but one thing is certain, by the end this President will show himself to be much more the divider than the uniter.