Tuesday, October 31, 2006

Katherine Harris

Best line from today's Washington Post story on her doomed campaign:

"The only way Bill Nelson could lose this," says Darryl Paulson, a political scientist (and Republican) at the University of South Florida, "is if he got himself in a drug-induced stupor and ran naked down the main street of his home town."

Of course, even then it would only be a toss-up.

Best little tid-bit appropriate for a Halloween Day story:

Before he became the first of three campaign managers to quit, Jim Dornan programmed his cellphone to play the theme song from "The Exorcist" when Harris called.

And apparently she is writing a book. Can't wait for it to come out.

Friday, October 27, 2006

Sexy Webb

I have plenty of thoughts on the Allen campaigns "discovery" of the Jim Webb books, primarily that it is insulting to his constituents and I think it will backfire. I may expound on those tomorrow, but at least this Washington Post story on the controversy ends with some humor:

Sen. John McCain (R-Ariz.), himself a Vietnam war hero who has endorsed Allen, praises "Lost Soldiers" on the book jacket. "It captures well the lingering scars of the war," he says. "A novel of revenge and redemption that tells us much about both where Vietnam is headed and where it has been."

An aide to McCain said Friday she could not reach the senator.


Yeah, right.

Thursday, October 26, 2006

Only Logical

You Are Incredibly Logical
Move over Spock - you're the new master of logicYou think rationally, clearly, and quickly.A seasoned problem solver, your mind is like a computer!


Update -- the above link doesn't appear to work, but you can take the quiz at http://blogthings.com/howlogicalareyouquiz/

Wednesday, October 25, 2006

NJ Gay Marriage Decision

The written opinion is here. It appears to go short of ordering the State to allow gay marriage, and instead directs the Legislature to come up with the appropriate legislative structure -- most likely civil unions, such as they have in Vermont and Connecticut.

Although the right wingers will howl, and this will become a major issue nationally, it sounds about in line with the what the public in the Northeast feels -- allow homosexuals the rights associated with marriage, but without trampling on the "institution" of marriage.

Thursday, October 19, 2006

GOP Implosion?

Are these two new problems for the GOP?

This from Dana Milbank, last night with Keith Olbermann:

Already, there are rumors now about a third, this one involving a 16-year-old girl. That’s been swirling around Washington today.

and

Las Vegas Sun reports that 5 term Congressman and Nevada gov. candidate was accused of assaulting a woman:

According to [the woman's] statement, the congressman grabbed her arms with both hands as they approached the parking garage elevator.

"And I said, 'Are you really, you know, rape me at this time?' And he said, 'You have two choices right now,'" [the woman] told police. "And I said, 'No way.' I said, 'I've survived cancer and then you're going to turn around and do this.'"

[The woman] said she ran to a nearby coffee shop and called 911.

Thursday, October 12, 2006

Tidal Wave?

If this poll is correct, the Democrats are looking at a tidal wave in November. There are a number of races on this survey that shouldn't be close, but that the GOP is losing (ex. Rick Renzi in Arizona).

In addition the GOP seems to be pulling out of places that they should be pushing hard, while putting money into districts that should be safe. Three and a half weeks is a long time, but as Yogi says "It's getting late early out there."

The Reid Land Deal Scandal

I don't know the details, although once you start talking about partnerships and LLC, even this lawyer's eyes start glazing over. However as a political point, there are two problems for the GOP: 1) It creates a greater "Washington is bad" atmosphere among the electorate, which hurts the Republicans more than the Democrats, since there in control; and 2) after spending the past two weeks claiming that the whole Foley affair was a Democratic dirty trick, this smacks of hypocrisy.

Plus, he's not running for reelection.

On the whole, this will have nil effect.

Thursday, October 05, 2006

The Old Fallback

According to many GOP supporters (and the Speaker of the House) the whole Foley mess can be put squarely at the feet of Bill Clinton and George Soros - somehow this is all a political "dirty trick." That line may play with the Kool-aid drinkers, but most normal thinking people (even the hard core conservatives) realize that it is just a way to avoid responsibility.

Tuesday, October 03, 2006

Hastert Must Go

This is not me (although I agree), it is the following list of solid or lean GOPers:

Robert George
Tony Blankley and the Wahington Times
Steven Taylor
James Joyner
Ed Morissey
LaShawn Barber
David Bossie

My prediction: He is gone by Friday night. (Bonus points if you can find the White House fingerprints on his back.)

Getting Worse

This post over at Poliblog pretty much sums up that the story gets worse as more details get out.

Hard to see how Hastert keeps his job - either the GOP kicks him out (now or in January) or this story helps Democrats take over the House. Indeed, if I were Hastert, I would be concerned about my own reelection.

Monday, October 02, 2006

Which is More Disturbing?

A) GOP aides warned Congressional Pages about Rep. Foley five years ago, but no further action was taken against him; or B) GOP aides did not bother warning Pages that were supervised by a Democratic Supervisor?

According to ABC News, both appear to be true.

And yet the National Republican Congressional Campaign Committee still seems eager to accept money from Rep. Foley. According to Carl Forti, the communications director for the National Republican Congressional Committee, the committee would gladly accept Mr. Foley’s money or part of it to devote to House races.


The GOP's vaunted message machine does not appear to working very well on this one.

Sunday, October 01, 2006

Uh-Oh

Apparently the Foley bomb is so toxic that there is no circling of the wagons for the leadership.

Hastert has some 'splaning to do.

UPDATE - Apparently Page 1, above the fold in the NYT too. And this from that story:
Representative Christopher Shays, Republican of Connecticut, said any leader who had been aware of Mr. Foley’s behavior and failed to take action should step down. “If they knew or should have known the extent of this problem, they should not serve in leadership,” Mr. Shays said.
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