Saturday, August 30, 2008

Karl Rove on the VP Pick

With all due respect again to Governor [Palin], [s]he's been a governor for three years, [s]he's been able but undistinguished," Rove said. "I don't think people could really name a big, important thing that [s]he's done. [Sh]e was mayor of [small city]." Rove continued: "So if he were to pick Governor [Palin], it would be an intensely political choice where he said, `You know what? I'm really not, first and foremost, concerned with, is this person capable of being president of the United States? What I'm concerned about is, can [s]he bring me the [votes of the base and maybe a few Hillary voters]?


Read the full quote here.

Ok, so I substituted Gov. Palin for Gov. Kaine, and changes a few pronouns, a biographical detail or two. But the reasoning still stands. I wonder of Mr. Rove stands by his statement?

The more I ponder this pick, the more I think it reflects poorly on McCain. Gov. Palin seem like a very nice average person, a next-door neighbor type. The questions is how she will wear after the klieg lights of the press and the Democrats are focused on her? How will her stand on teaching creationism look? Is her troopergate scandal going to gain traction? Is her denial that global warming is man-made going to sound reasonable? And will her parsing of the "bridge to nowhere" funding issue come under scrutiny? These are only a few of the initial questions that come to mind. By picking a blank slate, McCain risks that the Democrats will be better at filling the slate than he is.

And then there are the reactions of the Alaskans.:

Alaska State Senate President Lyda Green (R): "She's not prepared to be governor. How can she be prepared to be vice president or president? Look at what she's done to this state. What would she do to the nation?"

Alaska House Speaker John Harris (R): "She's old enough. She's a US citizen."

How it will look in November is still unknown, but it is a big risk.

Update -- Just saw this ABC report that Palin will be deposed soon regarding the troopergate investigation. No matter how you want to spin it, Americans are probably a little leery of politicians and depositions.

Friday, August 29, 2008

Palin

Bold, but risky.

It makes it hard to argue anymore that Obama doesn't have enough experience to lead in these tough times, which I have thought was the strongest argument.

Because Palin is such a blank slate, her first impression is going to be awfully important. A misstep or to could send her down "Quayle Alley" or as the second coming of Katherine Harris. But she looks good, has a good family story and might make the Hillary voters take a second look at McCain.

But ultimately, I still think that the election is about Obama, and after last night, I think most people can see him as President.

BTW

I think that after Barak's speech, the McCain VP selection gets leaked before 9 a.m. My bet is Romney, which is safe and boring, which is, frankly more of a Democratic trait (Biden, Edwards, Lieberman, Gore, Bentsen) than GOP ( Cheney, Kemp, Quayle, Bush (the Elder), Dole).

Thursday, August 28, 2008

The Speech

He gave it great. The content was average, probably not any great lines but then again, he gave it great. And he connected.

But the shots against McCain left the message that he ain't gonna sit around and let the GOPers beat him up. (In some ways, it is saying-- John McCain, you wanted a civil campaign, well you had your chance, you made your choice, let's go.)

Don't forget, he is a Chicago pol.

Plus, he seemed authentic, at a time when McCain is seeming less and less so.

Wednesday, August 27, 2008

The Big Dog

He delivered again. He really is a talented politician, really unparalleled.

Any Hillary supporters who will be supporting McCain at this point, well, they probably weren't voting for any Democrat, even Hillary, in November.

Tuesday, August 26, 2008

It is amusing . . .

to watch and read all the conservatives who think Hillary would be such a great candidate and that Democrats are/should be suffering buyers remorse.

In an alternate universe, where Hillary was the nominee, can you imagine what those exact same people would be saying? Just go back and read what they said about her in 1992, or when she ran for Senator in 2000.

Also, shouldn't FOX (and the New York Times, for that matter) give some sort of disclaimer every time Bill Kristol speaks/writes. I think there are times that even he can't keep a straight face as he gives his "advice" to the Democrats, I know I can't.

As for Hillary, she gave a good speech, and stated the obvious to these crazy Hillary only supporters (which may be mostly a media creation) -- is this a cult of personality, or did you actually listen to what I was saying.

Passion

The good side of the Hillary's supporters passion is that it shows that the Democrats are truly excited and caring about this election. The GOP race was hardly a blow out, but there was never any passion for any of the candidates.

That said, Obama needs the Hillary supporters. If he can solidify that group, he'll have a decent lead going into the last 60 days.

Bob Casey

He is much more impressive tonight than I've ever seen him. "Four more months" and "not a maverick, that's a sidekick" are both really good lines.

My guess is that Mark Warner won't be. I'll be interested to see if he goes negative, and if he does, if he can pull it off.

What they could really use is a Ann Richards-like speech.

Monday, August 25, 2008

Michelle Obama

She did her job, she seemed like your next door neighbor and made the family seem down right "normal." And the kids were perfect.

A good start.

POW Jumps the Shark

Apparently McCain trots out the I was a POW line on the Leno Show tonight, again. You would think that he would want to put that particular line back in his pocket until later, but apparently, it is the only line of defense they have right now. (And up to now, it was primarily the flacks who trotted out the line, not the candidiate himself.)

That the line is being overused is quickly becoming part of the media storyline, even before the Leno Show. For that reason alone, you would think that the campaign would have put it away. If it becomes the singular focus of the GOP convention, McCain will risk it becoming a detriment.

America loves a hero, but a modest hero.

Teddy

This might be the last time he has the public stage.

He certainly looks not well -- and he made a few flubs, but it's Ted Kennedy at the Democratic convention.

It's a bit sad to think about the end of this particular era.

Friday, August 22, 2008

Biden?

All signs have been pointing to a Biden pick over the past week, but the roll out has been masterful. All the junkie (your humble writer included) have been glued to the phones/email for the past 36 hours, drumming up the dramatics.

Biden is a solid pick. He isn't boring, he's pretty well vetted, and the national press corp likes him. Plus, he has real substance and I'm pretty sure he has only one home and can remember that.

We should know for sure by noon tomorrow, unless Team Obama has planned for more suspense, but that would just be cruel at this point.

Personally, I would have liked a Breseden (Tenn.) or Schweitzer (Mont.) pick, but that would have been awfully thin on experience (if that is a bad thing.)

Anyway the official prediction here is Biden.

(And by the way, the reeeeediculous stories about Hillary not being vetted? Please! There has never been a more vetted candidate in history. Obama's team didn't need to spend any time on that, her pluses and minuses are well known to all.)
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